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DTZ Property Times Q4 2009 - Europe

 In Q4 09, office take-up across Europe reached 2.5 million sq m, representing a 39% increase on the previous quarter. Nonetheless, at 7.6 million sq m, take-up for the year as a whole was 32% below the level achieved in 2008 and 29% below the five-year average.

 Availability increased across all markets during 2009, with the average European availability ratio reaching 10.8% at the end of the year. An exception to this trend was London City, where a drop in new supply in the second half of the year and increased tenant demand pushed availability downwards.

 The rate of rental decline continued to ease in Q4, with prime European headline rents falling by an average of 1.4% - the smallest quarterly fall in 2009.

 With uncertainty surrounding the strength of the economic recovery, we predict only marginal rental growth in 2010 across Europe, averaging just 0.16%. We expect:

  •  London City to see strong rental growth at around 18%
  •  A return to positive growth in Paris CBD, Munich, Kyiv (Kiev) and Berlin
  •  Further declines in Barcelona, Dublin, Frankfurt, Madrid and Stockholm

 Over the forecast period of 2010 to 2014, European prime rents are expected to grow on average by around 2.4% with London City, London Midtown, Kyiv (Kiev), Moscow and Dublin projected as the top performing markets.

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